Housing was the topic for last week’s  “Let’s talk about … “ conversation, the latest in a series of community forums hosted by Newton mayoral candidate and former City Councilor Amy Sangiolo. It didn’t quite go the way you’d expect. The featured guest, Portsmouth, New Hampshire, Principal Planner Nick Cracknell, essentially undermined his host’s housing platform.

The full video is here.

Councilor Sangiolo’s housing policy can be summed up as:

Add new or preserve existing affordable housing. Add only a minimum number of new or replacement market-rate homes.*

Councilor Sangiolo promotes accessory dwelling units (ADU). Cracknell loves them, but notes that they will only produce modest affordable housing. Councilor Sangiolo defends single-family-only zoning. Cracknell says multi-family housing is important. Councilor Sangiolo promises to limit developer-driven housing. If the Cracknell presentation made one thing clear, it was this: the biggest engine for building affordable housing in Massachusetts right now is new market-rate developments that include significant permanently affordable housing — principally 40B, 40R, and inclusionary zoning.

This is Cracknell on upzoning, and it’s a brutal rejoinder to Councilor Sangiolo’s preferred housing policies and her defense (with very limited exceptions) of single-family zoning.

I think there’s a bona fide need for multi-family housing, which you can call upzoning. I’m seeing a trend still going in the opposite direction. Most places that I work, or walk or play are willing to play the 40R game a little bit. But, most people aren’t interested — in the North Shore — in upzoning their communities. There’s still the tendency to roll up the carpet and go the opposite direction, despite what’s said. There’s no doubt that multi-family housing is something we need to get back for much of the population that can’t afford to live in a single-family environment.

Rolling up the carpet is exactly what Councilor Sangiolo, Right*Size Newton, and all the defenders of single-family zoning are doing. They propose next to nothing that will make it possible for folks of modest means to live in Newton and are reducing the opportunities for folks who need truly affordable housing.

Here’s Cracknell on the need for a full set of tools, including high-density development. 

With the real message being, I think, it’s critical for any city or town that’s got a significant need for affordable housing to go into that toolbox and build a pretty robust set of options that … where one size doesn’t fit all. And, you’re not trying to create a high-density project to solve all your housing needs. But at the same time, you recognize that doing in-law apartments or accessory units, smaller units, micro units can take you a long time to actually address the market failure of not having enough housing. It’s really about increasing supply, increasing the quality. 

Councilor Sangiolo wants to have a very limited toolbox. This, too, is true of many of the Right*Size Newton-aligned councilors and candidates. Their shared housing vision — more affordable housing, but as little market-rate housing as possible — effectively eliminates or diminishes two very powerful tools for adding more affordable housing.

Newton needs to use all the tools to create housing that is attainable to folks across the income spectrum: large-scale special-permit developments, 40B developments, 100% affordable housing by not-for-profit and by for-profit specialty developers, by-right multi-family housing, mixed-use development, even ADUs. The more you want to preclude or limit some of these tools — because you don’t want buildings taller than 3 stories, because you want to save single-family zoning, because you think developers are greedy when they build market-rate apartments that cross-subsidize permanently affordable apartments, when you invent a misleading populist-sounding name for a phenomenon that creates more and ultimately cheaper housing — the less credible is your claim to be a champion of affordable housing.

To be sure, I agree with Cracknell. Big developments with market-rate homes subsidizing affordable homes is not the answer to all our housing needs. And, there are flaws to our inclusionary zoning, not the least of which is its failure to provide sufficient deeply affordable units or units for people with disabilities, both of which were raised this week’s Zoning and Planning discussion and vote on the proposal to lower the local preference from 70 to 25%. It may be that we can tweak inclusionary zoning or it may be that inclusionary zoning is not the mechanism. In either case, we need reforms to our zoning and our housing funding to create more deeply affordable and fully accessible housing.

All the tools.

A few other takeaways …

Councilor Sangiolo tiptoed into the ugliness of anti-renter sentiment.

I hope she clarifies.

While Cracknell seemed to validate Councilor Sangiolo’s flawed “trickle-down housing” denial of housing prices being subject to supply and demand (while admitting he had never heard of it), earlier in the presentation he was quite clear-eyed about the market: 

Cost of housing is up because demand way outstrips capacity and the market is so extremely high that the market does not deliver affordable housing without government intervention.

It can’t be that constrained supply and high demand are responsible for high housing prices, but adding supply won’t lower prices. That just doesn’t make sense.

It wasn’t just her guest who undermined Councilor Sangiolo. It was her supporters, too. In one of the quick-poll questions during the session, nearly half of the presumably mostly friendly audience said they want more housing within a quarter-mile of transit. This has not been Councilor Sangiolo’s position.

Councilor Sangiolo says she doesn’t understand why ADUs haven’t caught on fire. I can provide an answer. They haven’t caught on fire because they don’t meet a market need. It’s not enough to create a category of housing that renters want/demand. It’s also got to be a category of housing that potential landlords want to supply. The slow uptake of ADUs can be explained by not enough people in Newton having the space, need, or desire to divide their home or create an external apartment on their property, while they live on the property.

* I think this fairly represents the housing policy of most of the Right*Size Newton-endorsed candidates and their allies, as well. Some RSN allies, however, like Councilors Marc Laredo and Lisle Baker, appear to be less concerned about replacement market-rate homes.