By all appearances, Councilor Marc Laredo is the leader — or one of the leaders — of a bloc of councilors who are anti-housing … or at least housing-skeptical. So, we should look closely at and take seriously what he has to say about housing. Fortunately, he shares some of his thoughts in his most recent constituent/campaign* newsletter. 

His thoughts are revealing. 

Councilor Laredo leads with the assertion that decisions about our housing and zoning policies “must be based on facts.” (Emphasis his.) I don’t disagree. We must make fact-based decisions.

He cites some important facts. We have about 33,000 homes in the city as of 2020. That’s up from 32,000 in 2010. Factor in the 2,000 approved but not built homes**, we’ll have 35,000 homes shortly, which means we will have met the Comprehensive Plan’s goal to increase housing by 10% in the city.

He also says that Newton’s stock of single-family homes has remained basically constant for the last 20 years. He notes that the city’s accessory dwelling unit (ADU) ordinance has had a negligible impact on housing production. Correct and correct.

But, Councilor Laredo doesn’t just discuss facts. He makes several important value judgments, starting with the declaration that Newton is a “built-out city.” Even assuming that Councilor Laredo means that there are few if any unbuilt lots remaining for residential development, it’s not true. Residential development is forbidden on most of the commercial lots in the city, a regulation that could easily be changed, creating more opportunities for residential “build out” without necessarily reducing commercial activity. We have one public and three private golf courses in the city. They could (and should) be developed (while reserving a significant portion as public open space). As a city we chose to buy and preserve Webster Woods, when the alternative was Boston College developing the land. Webster Woods is not “built out.” *** 

What Councilor Laredo means by “built-out city,” apparently; there is no more room for new single-family homes. All but a trivial few of the lots currently zoned residential already have homes on them. Defining “built-out city” that way is, itself, a value judgment, especially when something north of 70% of those “built-out” lots have just a single-family home on them. Housing advocates, your humble scribe included, think there’s plenty of room for more housing and would never describe the city as “built-out.” 

Whether or not we are a “built-out city” is a judgment, not a fact.

Councilor Laredo does include this odd statement: “This means that if we build more housing in Newton, it will have to be heavily concentrated in multi-family dwellings.” If we are going to build meaningfully more housing it won’t just be concentrated in multi-family dwellings, it will be almost exclusively in multi-family dwelling (unless, of course, it’s part of the development of a golf course).

Councilor Laredo says that while adding multi-family housing “will increase our total housing supply, it won’t do much to change the price of a single-family home.” That seems a very strong claim to make, especially in a letter demanding better data in decision-making.**** It’s also weird in that it pre-supposes that driving down the price of single-family homes is the point of adding more housing to Newton. Housing advocates, your humble scribe included, want to add housing options in addition to single-family homes, options that are more affordable than single-family homes, which command a clear premium over multi-family homes. We want to reduce the cost of housing in Newton, in general, not just the cost of single-family housing. That would be a success, even if (or especially if) single-family home prices remain strong. *****

Finally, Councilor Laredo’s letter is notable for the facts that he doesn’t talk about, the facts he doesn’t request: the facts about climate change, the facts about how adding housing can reduce climate change, the facts about Newton’s transit assets, the facts about how Newton’s housing density around transit compares to other communities, the facts about the regional housing crisis, the facts about the economic impact of the housing crisis. And, of course, the facts about how Newton’s exclusionary zoning has created a segregated Newton.

In the end, facts are important, but in the discussion about “much our housing stock should increase,” the facts that Councilor Laredo is looking for are not nearly as important as values. In the “Elections” section of the newsletter, Councilor Laredo suggests that his readers consider five questions as they evaluate candidates, including:

Do they always remember that they work for the residents of this city, not to further special interests or their own ideology?

It’s hard not to read Councilor Laredo’s housing discussion in the light of this question. Just behind his asserted concern for facts is a clear anti-housing ideology. Which is fine. Let’s just be open about what’s at stake and have that “robust discussion about how much our housing stock should increase” honestly. 

* As was the case for his final two School Committee elections and has been the case for all of his Board of Aldermen/City Council elections, Councilor Laredo will have no opponent in 2021, so how, you might ask, is it a campaign newsletter? Councilor Laredo was very active in the spring special elections and is expected to endorse and campaign for candidates in this fall’s elections. In fact, in the same August newsletter, he says he will “offer my thoughts and endorsements” and sets forth his criteria for a good council candidate.

** Hate to be a stickler, but the topic is good data and Riverside’s contribution of 550 units to the total is not approved yet. I don’t think you get close to 2,000 without them. (Northland — 800 units, Dunstan East — 304, Riverdale — 204.)

*** I support the decision, but recognize that it was a choice, a choice that could have been different and resulted in residential development.

**** At a certain point, it stands to reason that more affordable options to single-family homes will have an impact on the price of single-family homes.

***** I’ll have something soon about the unfortunate fixation on single-family housing among some elected officials and candidates.