| Newton MA News and Politics Blog

This is a house down the street from me. Well-maintained. 2200 s.f. Four bedrooms (one created in the attic). Two baths. Nice, but smallish lot. Near Newton Centre.

One million bucks!! And, they cancelled the second of two open houses this weekend, so presumably there was an offer or two from the marauding hordes that descended from their expensive cars.* Update: it’s now off the market.

Obviously, this development inures to my personal benefit. A million-dollar home a few doors down bodes well for my family. But, oh boy, this is not good for the city.

You can imagine this house saying to itself: I have arrived.This is no longer, as it was when built, a starter home for a young family with a moderate income. At 20% down with no other debt, you need an income over $200K to service the mortgage. Teachers and firefighters need not apply (unless they have significant trust funds.) A further hit to economic (and racial) diversity.

Actually, though, it’s not about the house. The house is not worth seven figures. The land under the house is worth the lion’s share of that million. A 2200 s.f. house for $1,000,000 is pretty close to a teardown. If you’re going to pay that kind of money, you probably want something newer and/or grander.

And, the land is that valuable because our restrictive zoning artificially constrains the market. In a rational world, my block would have a mix of housing. Maybe a small apartment building. And, some two- or three- family homes. And, some single-family homes. You could easily double the number of units in the neighborhood. Curing the artificial scarcity would drive the cost of the land down some (it’s still a very desirable location, near Newton Centre). The land cost, though, would be spread over more housing units, making things more affordable. 

The impact might even be more regional. If there are more homes in Newton, folks in Watertown who were priced out can move to Newton, which would drop the prices in Watertown. And, folks priced out of Watertown, … Lather, rinse, repeat. 

In the meantime, the Roches (and our neighbors) get wealthier and the city gets poorer.

*Poetic license. They all seemed very well behaved. But, there were a lot of them. And, they did arrive in expensive cars.