Who’s the best predictor? In the comments, let us know:
- Who’s going on to the general (1 point for the correct pair, any order)
- Top four (1 point for each candidate in the right position)
- Percentages for the top four (2 points to the person with the closest guess for each of the top four)
- Number of voters (3 points to the person with the closest guess)
Predictions have to be in before the polls close. Winner gets a paid Village 14 subscription.
Key watch totals: RF v. (Scott + Amy) margin> lead drive repositioning for 2nd session. This will redirect character objectives. Blank vote should be relatively low. Voters with purpose traditionally will define strength of candidate, not lawn sign numbers. Amy’s sole chance to shine; splitting of the uprights Ruthanne & Scott. Who is the watchdog of the underdog in Newton? everyone loves a winner – no losers in this preliminary – the only loser is the non-participant..
I predict Lennon and Fuller will go on to the general election.
Top four: Lennon, Fuller, Sangiolo and Katzoff, in that order.
Can’t make any prediction on percentages or voter turnout.
I’m going to limit my predictions to this (most to fewest vote getters)
1. Fuller
2. Too close to call: Sangiolo and Lennon
4. Cecchinelli
5. Katzoff
6. Saunders
7. Woodward
Fuller and Lennon get through the Preliminary.
What Greg said
I think Lennon will get the most votes, followed by Fuller. And I think Sangiolo will be a bit further behind Fuller, then Cecchinelli, then Katzoff. I have no idea about Saunders and Woodward.
I have absolutely no idea how this thing will shake out at 8 PM this evening, but I was holding a sign for Amy at Hyde School earlier this morning and more people than I expected gave me a thumbs up.
Amy’s got this. She has all kinds of constituents! The Environmentalists, The No on the Charter, The Progressives. And she has never lost an election in the 20 years she has been working in Newton government.
I’m updating my prediction. If turnout is above 12% it’s Fuller/Sangiolo. If it’s under 10% Fuller Lennon. In the middle? Too close to call.
I like Amy and think should would make a fine mayor, but I feel like she began campaigning too late so I am thinking she won’t make it past the primaries. But hopefully I’m wrong!
You really think it will be that close between Sangiolo and Lennon? I don’t see Sangiolo enjoying nearly as much support as Lennon or Fuller. Not among people I know, not among social media followers, not among lawn signs, not among people outside the polling places holding signs. Not that my observations are scientific by any means, but I would be surprised if Sangiolo’s votes came anywhere near Lennon’s.
Mary, I hope you’re wrong, too. Amy started late because she spent a lot of time in Hawaii with her dying father, and then getting her mother moved up here. I’m very grateful she was willing to run despite the others having such a head start in setting up a campaign and fundraising.
A. Fuller and Sangiolo
B. 1. Fuller, 2. Sangiolo, 3. Lennon, 4. Cecchinelli
C. 1. 33%, 2. 24%, 3. 21%, 4. 10%
D. 17,250