Keeping in mind that as a primary, turnout is lower than the regular election, I was curious how the three major candidates did in each Ward. I have the precinct data if anyone is interested, and I’m not sure there are too many surprises here. The precinct data is posted in a difficult-to-use PDF format on the city’s site. I wish they’d put it out in more usable format.
But, looking at this chart it’s clear that Lennon’s strength in his home Ward and neighboring Ward 3 is really what carried him. Sangiolo had some consistency across the city (with obvious strength in Ward 4 and weakness in Ward 7) while Fuller did well across several key areas. But that Ward 1 number for Lennon is the outlier here.
That said, Wards 7 and 8 didn’t have the turnout that the other areas saw (second chart), so it will be interesting to see if Fuller’s strength there carries over to the heavier turnouts that usually come with final election.
Thanks for the charts, Chuck. Between these and Logan’s map, a clearer picture is emerging.
To be fair, I actually made the map on that presentation 😉
@cooper can you post the map along with an explanation of the numbers? It tells an interesting story.
According to these charts I would say RuthAnne will win in November as her numbers are strong on the south side. Both will be weak leaders, so the outcome doesn’t matter . The city’s future and the residents are the big losers.
I’ve also been looking at municipal election data from 2001-2015. Ward 7 and 8 turnout is at the low end averaged over these years (23.61% ad 23.69% respectively), along with Ward 1 (23.54%). The ward that has the highest average turnout is Ward 2, with 29.67%, followed by Wards 5 and 6 with just slightly lower percentages. These numbers are depressingly low in all but presidential election years–it would be great to have a strong race and really get people out to the polls in November.