I’ll keep my predictions on winners and margins to myself, but I figure predicting turnout should be pretty benign.
Anyone want to go first? Just for a reference point, the turnout in the preliminary was 11 percent.
by Nathan Phillips | Nov 4, 2013 | Elections | 24 comments
I’ll keep my predictions on winners and margins to myself, but I figure predicting turnout should be pretty benign.
Anyone want to go first? Just for a reference point, the turnout in the preliminary was 11 percent.
drivers man be like
Men's Crib November 3, 2023 8:51 am
38%
13%
23 percent.
21%
33%
24%
I’m with Hoss…38%. But, if this is a pool and that prediction is taken, I’ll raise him one, to 39%. (Please keep in mind that I am an optimist.)
(Of course, at least 32% will be from Waban and will vote for me!!!!!!!)
I say 26 percent.
In ’09 when we had an open seat and we all thought the city was possessed with the election, the turnout was 38%.
18%
Good luck Sallee Lipshutz. If u get elected, pls nominate Barry’s bagel and sable as official breakfast of Waban!
About 27.5% of registered voters. I’m figuring an average of 1900 voters per ward, x 8 wards, out of about 55,000 registered voters. I.e. a total guess.
29%
19%
A bit unfair of me: Where I am it’s 9:00 pm Tuesday November 5 so the results are in here on the South Island of New Zealand!
Hope you sent in your absentee ballot!
A palindromic guess of 22
27 percent turnout. If we are going to decimal points, then I’ll shoot for 27.3 percent.
My husband doesn’t know there is a city election. I didn’t even mention it to him. He would ask me who to vote for because he knows very little about Newton politicians.
Newton has some very big problems in future years. Not only financial difficulties but some significant leadership problems. Setti is wrong about dense new housing and is wrong not to engage the village residents about these developments.
The NC traffic problems will not get fixed by stupid bump outs and more lights. We have some significant problems to solve and Setti is a bit too arrogant about what he thinks he knows. From what I have seen so far his understanding of difficult dilemmas is shallow and short sighted.
Turnout will be below 20% because few people believe the lies politicians spew. They think gov’t is incompetent and don’t trust anything they say. Most of the time we just conform to the stupid decisions or move somewhere else. Gov’t seldom makes life better for residents. Our children can’t wait for the day they graduate from the schools and are lucky to survive the very difficult life they endure within the NP school system.
I agree with Colleen’s statement, “We have some significant problems to solve and Setti is a bit too arrogant about what he thinks he knows. From what I have seen so far his understanding of difficult dilemmas is shallow and short sighted.”
However, I could not disagree more with the staement, “Our children can’t wait for the day they graduate from the schools and are lucky to survive the very difficult life they endure within the NP school system.” Very difficult life? Wow…..I sure didn’t see any trace of that from my daughter’s experience at NNHS, which was wholly satisfactory.
Can’t see more than 22% voter turnout, sadly.
Read more: http://village14.com/netwon-ma/2013/11/turnout-predictions/#ixzz2jnhDQsVD
Native N. I agree with you about girls and the Newton Schools. Both my daughters progressed through the schools with little difficulty.
What caught my attention was the many students and many were young men who struggled through out their high school years. My 2 sons managed well enough although they did have their struggles with a number of significant obstacles with in the school programs. My oldest son completed a P.G. year at P. Exeter which helped him chart a more positive academic course direction.
With both sons I watched many of their friends struggle mightily with the high school process and I was startled at graduation time to hear so many of them say how glad they were to be out of Newton North.
@Hoss 38%??? The only way you’d get that in a non-presidential year is if recreational marijuana was on the ballot.
Max Goldsmith — Actually I looked at 2009 (41%) and shaved back a few points. But if they taped recreational maryjane to the ballot, that would have done it too.
Anyone know the turnout figure? Judging from the #votes cast for mayor 13,019 and past number of registered voters – a little over 55,000, I’m guessing the turnout was around 23.5%?
Unofficial result (http://www.newtonma.gov/civicax/filebank/documents/55372) show 13,298 voted. If the # of registered voters remains 54,972, we have just over 24% – Pending verification, Groot may have the bragging rights.
And here’s one more name to add to the winners’ list following yesterday’s election: Groot Gregory for his 24 percent turnout prediction.